Publications in Academic Journals
[Colored by topics: Climate Change​​ |​​​​​​​ BubblesDebt | Other]​​
2020
12. Bubbly Recessions, with Sid Biswas and Andrew Hanson, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 12(4), 2020, pp. 33-70 [slides] [pdf] [policy brief]  
2019
11. Temperature and Growth: a Panel Analysis of the United States, with Ric Colacito and Bridget HoffmannJournal of Money, Credit and Banking​​ 51 (2-3), 2019, 313-368 [slides] [pdf] [policy brief] [replication files]
A nontechnical version of this paper is reprinted as “The Impact of Rising Temperature on U.S. Economic Growth,” Chapter 19, World Scientific Encyclopedia of Climate Change, World Scientific, 2021
10. Asset Bubbles and Global Imbalances, with Daisuke IkedaAmerican Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 11(3), 2019, pp. 209-251 [slides] [pdf] [policy briefs]
9. Regressive Welfare Effects of Housing Bubbles, with Andrew Graczyk, Macroeconomic Dynamics​, 2019, pp. 1-26, doi:10.1017/S1365100519000981 [pdf]
8. Time-Varying Skewness and Real Business Cycles, with Lance Kent, Economic Quarterly, The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, 105(2), 2019, pp. 59-103
2018
7. 
Asset Pledgeability and Endogenously Leveraged Bubbles, with Julien BenguiJournal of Economic Theory, 177, 2018, pp. 280-314 [pdf]
2017
6. Sovereign Debt SignalsJournal of International Economics​, 2017, 104, pp. 157-165 [pdf]
5. Nominal Sovereign DebtInternational Economic Review, 58 (4), 2017, pp. 1303-1316 [pdf]
4. A Model of Sovereign Debt with Private InformationJournal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 83, 2017, pp. 1-17 [pdf]
3. Bubbles, Wage Rigidity, and Persistent Recessions, with Andrew HansonEconomic Letters, 151(2), 2017, pp. 66-70 [pdf]
2016
2. Information, Insurance and the Sustainability of Sovereign DebtReview of Economic Dynamics, 2016, 22, pp. 93-108 [pdf]
1. Toxic Asset Bubbles with Daisuke IkedaEconomic Theory, 2016, 61(2), pp. 241-271 [pdf]
Mathematics
0. Roots of the Derivative of the Riemann-Zeta Function and of Characteristic Polynomials, with Eduardo Dueñez, David W Farmer, Sara Froehlich, C P Hughes, Francesco Mezzadri, Nonlinearity, 2010, 23(10) [pdf]
Ongoing Projects
1. Climate Defaults and Financial Adaptation, with Felipe Schwartzman [slides]
Presentation at Climate Change Economics workshop, Sovereign Debt Week workshop, FRB System brown bag, FRB Richmond brown bag, Osaka University ISER, FRB Board CREST
2. Race and Environmental Worries, with Ranie Lin and Lala Ma [slides]​​​​​​​
3. Mortgage Market with Denial of Climate Change Risks: Theory and Evidence (tentative title), with Laura Bakkensen and Russell Wong
4. Excess Mortality from Hurricanes: New Evidence from Microdata (tentative title), with Laura Bakkensen, Lala Ma, and Logan Blair
5. The Role of Information in Climate Migration: Evidence from a Large Randomized Survey Experiment in Vietnam (tentative title), with Laura Bakkensen, Quynh Nguyen and Paul Schuler
6. Extreme Climate and the Macroeconomy,”with Hee Soo Kim and Christian Matthes
7. Climate q, with Anastasios Karantounias​​​​​​​ and Christian Matthes

Working Papers
1. The Transmission of Quasi-Sovereign Default Risk: Evidence from Puerto Rico, with Ryan Leary and Anusha Chari, previously distributed as NBER Working Paper 24108 [slides]
Presentation at GIC Drexel sovereign debt conference, IMF OAP-PRI 2020, SED 2019, NBER IFM fall 2018, DebtCon 2017, FRB BOG, FRB Richmond, Georgetown University, Sao Paolo School of Economics
2. Self-enforcing Debt Limits and Costly Default in General Equilibrium, with V. Filipe Martins-da-Rocha and Yiannis Vailakis
Presentation at FRB Richmond, Virginia Tech, Duke University Triangle Dynamic Macro workshop, University of Tokyo, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Clara University, University of Virginia, Economics School of Louvain, Sao Paulo School of Economics, and the Canon Institute for Global Studies Macroeconomic conference​​​​
"Science is not only a disciple of reason but also one of romance and passion" -- Stephen Hawking
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